Sunday 14 November 2010

Backdated - US Midterm Summary - Senate

All right, midterms have come and gone. For those of you who have been following this, it is time to wind up and reflect. For everyone else, you missed out, and there was cake.

Let's start with the...

Senate

As predicted, the swing was strong against the Democratic Party, but the 63% of carry-over senators from 2008 and 2006 hold the house for the Democrats by a margin.

As you should all know, there are 100 seats in the Senate - 2 per state. The continuing Senators give the Democrats an assured 40 seats and the Republicans a guaranteed 23. In the 2010 Midterm Senate elections, the following seats fell as follows:

Alabama (Considered a safe Republican seat) - Republican
Alaska (Considered a safe Republican seat) - Republican
Arizona (Considered a safe Republican seat) - Republican
Arkansas (Considered a safe Republican seat) - Republican
California (Considered a likely Democrat seat) - Democrat
Colorado (Considered a tossup) - Democrat
Connecticut (Considered a likely Democrat seat) - Democrat
Delaware (Considered a safe Democrat seat) - Democrat
Florida (Considered a safe Republican seat) - Republican
Georgia (Considered a safe Republican seat) - Republican
Hawaii (Considered a safe Democrat seat) - Democrat
Idaho (Considered a safe Republican seat) - Republican
Illinois (Considered a tossup) - Republican
Indiana (Considered a safe Republican seat) - Republican
Iowa (Considered a safe Republican seat) - Republican
Kansas (Considered a safe Republican seat) - Republican
Kentucky (Considered a likely Republican seat) - Republican
Louisiana (Considered a safe Republican seat) - Republican
Maryland (Considered a safe Democrat seat) - Democrat
Missouri (Considered a likely Republican seat) - Republican
Nevada (Considered a tossup) - Democrat
New Hampshire (Considered a safe Republican seat) - Republican
New York 1 (Considered a safe Democrat seat) - Democrat
New York 2 (Considered a safe Democrat seat) - Democrat
North Carolina (Considered a tossup) - Republican
North Dakota (Considered a safe Republican seat) - Republican
Ohio (Considered a safe Republican seat) - Republican
Oklahoma (Considered a safe Republican seat) - Republican
Oregon (Considered a safe Democrat seat) - Democrat
Pennsylvania (Considered a tossup) - Republican
South Carolina (Considered a safe Republican seat) - Republican
South Dakota (Considered a safe Republican seat) - Republican
Utah (Considered a safe Republican seat) - Republican
Vermont (Considered a safe Democrat seat) - Democrat
Washington (Considered a likely Democrat seat) - Democrat
West Virginia (Considered a tossup) - Democrat
Wisconsin (Considered a likely Republican seat) - Republican

All predictions, as it happened, were correct for the Senate, and of the tossup seats 3 (Colorado, Nevada and West Virginia) became Democrat while 3 (Illinois, North Carolina and Pennsylvania) became Republican.

This gives the Republicans a further 24 seats, and the Democrats 13, giving the house to the Democrats 53 to 47 (counting the two independent senators from Connecticut and Vermont as Democrats). This also leaves the Democrats with double senators in 18 states (including the two independent senators from Connecticut and Vermont as Democrats), the Republicans with 15 states and the remaining 17 states with one senator from each party.

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